Exchange Rate Misalignment and Its Relationship to Output Growth in South Africa

This paper establishes a simple theory-based real exchange rate (RER) Misalignment Index for countries around the world from 1950-2014, and shows that South Africa's RER has been undervalued over the last decade. For the most recent year of 2014, depending on the proxy for productivity, it is u...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nguyen, Ha
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2018
Series:World Bank E-Library Archive
Online Access:
Collection: World Bank E-Library Archive - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Description
Summary:This paper establishes a simple theory-based real exchange rate (RER) Misalignment Index for countries around the world from 1950-2014, and shows that South Africa's RER has been undervalued over the last decade. For the most recent year of 2014, depending on the proxy for productivity, it is undervalued from about 15 percent to 18 percent. The analysis suggests that terms of trade fluctuations explain a large part of the undervaluation. This study is a background note for the South Africa Systematic Country Diagnostic